AI warfare
AI warfare refers to the use of artificial intelligence technologies to automate military operation and enhance or bypass human decision-making in armed conflicts. AI is used to rapidly analyze large volumes of military intelligence data,[1] including making recommendations or decisions on who and what to target.[2] Abdul-Rahman al-Rawi, a 20-year-old student, was the first acknowledged civilian killed by AI-assisted airstrike in a U.S. strike in Iraq in 2024.[3] In 2026, the U.S. declared it would become an 'AI-first' warfighting force.[4] Husain et al (2018) coined the term hyperwar to refer to warfare which is algorithmic or controlled by artificial intelligence, with little to no human decision-making.[5][6]
2026 Iran war
[edit]The 2026 Iran war has been described as the "first AI war", although the Untied States and Israel have previously used AI to identify targets during the Gaza war.[1] The U.S. has used AI tools to attack Iran.[7] These tools have been used for military intelligence, targeting, and damage assessment in the war in Iran.[8] Using the Maven smart system, the U.S. attacked 1,000 targets in the first 24 hours of the war and 5,000 targets over the course of 10 days.[9] While the U.S. had used Maven in 2022 to share targeting information with Ukraine and strike against Iraq, Syria, and against the Houthis in 2024, Iran's attacks are its biggest.[9] Authorities are looking into whether artificial intelligence was involved in the airstrike on an Iranian girls' school that killed 170 civilians, the majority of whom were female students.[10] The United States Central Command emphasized that humans were making final targeting decisions.[11]
Per a White House tally released on April 8, the U.S. military hit over 13,000 targets in Iran during the war's first 38 days, including more than 2,000 command-and-control sites, 1,500 air defense targets, and 1,450 industrial infrastructure targets.[12]
Gaza war
[edit]As part of the Gaza war, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have used artificial intelligence to rapidly and automatically perform much of the process of determining what to bomb. IDF's Unit 8200 developed AI systems, dubbed the Gospel and Lavender, to find targets for the Israeli Air Force to bomb.[13][14] The Gospel automatically provides targeting recommendations to human analysts, who decide whether to approve strikes.[15] Lavender identified 37,000 Hamas-linked individuals early in the war, and was used alongside the Gospel, which chooses buildings or structures as targets. According to a report by +972 Magazine and Local Call, strikes assisted by Lavender were routinely permitted to kill 5–20 civilians for each suspected Hamas militant, who were often bombed at home with their families.[1] The IDF denies these claims, maintaining that every strike is assessed to minimize collateral damage, and that there is no policy "to kill tens of thousands of people in their homes."[16]
Israel deployed AI technologies during the Gaza war for audio analysis, facial recognition, and airstrike targeting. One such system was used to help identify the location of Hamas commander Ibrahim Biari through phone call analysis, leading to strikes that killed him as well as more than 125 civilians.[17]
2022 Russian Ukraine war
[edit]Kyiv launched a project with Palantir called Brave1 Dataroom to build AI systems using the extensive combat data Ukraine has gathered since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022. The country has also created tools for in-depth airstrike analysis, introduced AI to process large volumes of intelligence, and incorporated these technologies into the planning of long-range strike operations.[18]
Involved companies
[edit]Maven Smart System is developed by Palantir. It integrates Anthropic's Claude as its large language model, and uses Amazon's AWS servers as its cloud infrastructure.[19] Since Anthropic's refusal to support autonomous weapons development and domestic surveillance efforts. In its place, other AI firms, including OpenAI, have been brought in to take over that role.[12]
Involved state actors
[edit]In 2024, the United States Department of Defense had 800-plus active AI-related projects and requested $1.8 billion in AI funding, with Project Maven and Project Artemis (AI-resistant drones developed together with Ukraine) being the main ones.[20] The technology has been used in Iran, Iraq, Syria and Yemen to identify targets.[19]
China is pursuing intelligentized warfare, integrating AI across all combat domains—land, sea, air, space, and cyber—with military AI spending exceeding $1.6 billion annually.[21]
International regulation
[edit]Since 2014, states meeting within the framework of the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons have discussed lethal autonomous weapon systems. In 2016, the treaty's states parties established an open-ended Group of Governmental Experts on Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems to continue those discussions.[22] The discussions have addressed international humanitarian law, accountability, possible prohibitions and regulations, and the extent of human control required over AI-enabled weapons.[23]
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b c Jones, Craig; Kinsella, Helen M (17 March 2026). "Iran war shows how AI speeds up military 'kill chains'". The Conversation. Retrieved 18 March 2026.
- ^ Booth, Robert and Milmo, Dan (3 March 2026). "Iran war heralds era of AI-powered bombing quicker than 'speed of thought'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 23 March 2026.
- ^ "AI, a dead student, and US airstrikes: The civilian caught up in a new age of warfare". The Independent. 10 March 2026. Retrieved 22 March 2026.
- ^ "How Project Maven became central to America's AI-powered warfare". The Independent. 10 March 2026. Retrieved 22 March 2026.
- ^ Husain, Amir; Allen, John R.; Work, Robert O.; Cole, August; Scharre, Paul; Anderson, Wendy R.; Porter, Bruce; Townsend, Jim (2018). Hyperwar : conflict and competition in the AI century. Austin, Texas. ISBN 978-1-7325970-0-6. OCLC 1099536594.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) - ^ Allen, John; West, Darrell; Institution, Brookings (2020-07-12). "Op-ed: Hyperwar is coming. America needs to bring AI into the fight to win - with caution". CNBC. Retrieved 2022-06-22.
- ^ Booth, Robert and Milmo, Dan (3 March 2026). "Iran war heralds era of AI-powered bombing quicker than 'speed of thought'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 18 March 2026.
- ^ Michaels, Daniel and Lieber, Dov (7 March 2026). "How AI Is Turbocharging the War in Iran". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 18 March 2026.
- ^ a b Manson, Katrina (12 March 2026). "'God, It's Terrifying': How the Pentagon Got Hooked on AI War Machines". Bloomberg.
- ^ "Speeding Up the "Kill Chain": Pentagon Bombs Thousands of Targets in Iran Using Palantir AI". Democracy Now!. Retrieved 20 March 2026.
- ^ "US military confirms use of 'advanced AI tools' in war against Iran". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 20 March 2026.
- ^ a b "AI Plays Major Role in the War on Iran". armscontrol.org.
- ^ Lee, Gavin (12 December 2023). "Understanding how Israel uses 'Gospel' AI system in Gaza bombings". France24. Archived from the original on 20 February 2024. Retrieved 1 April 2024.
- ^ McKernan, Bethan and Davies, Harry (2024-04-03). "'The machine did it coldly': Israel used AI to identify 37,000 Hamas targets". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2026-05-26.
- ^ Brumfiel, Geoff. "Israel is using an AI system to find targets in Gaza. Experts say it's just the start". NPR. Archived from the original on 20 February 2024. Retrieved 1 April 2024.
...The final system is the Gospel, which makes a targeting recommendation to a human analyst. Those targets could be anything from individual fighters, to equipment like rocket launchers, or facilities such as Hamas command posts.
...The system provides a targeting recommendation for a human analyst who then decides whether to pass it along to soldiers in the field.
"This isn't just an automatic system," Misztal emphasizes. "If it thinks it finds something that could be a potential target, that's flagged then for an intelligence analyst to review."
The post states that the targeting division is able to send these targets to the IAF and navy, and directly to ground forces... - ^ "Israel Defence Forces' response to claims about use of 'Lavender' AI database in Gaza". The Guardian. 2024-04-03. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2026-05-26.
- ^ Frenkel, Sheera and Odenheimer, Natan (2025-04-25). "Israel's A.I. Experiments in Gaza War Raise Ethical Concerns". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2026-05-15.
- ^ "Zelenskiy meets Palantir CEO as Ukraine expands use of AI in war". reuters.
- ^ a b Hammad, Noor (2026-04-02). "The proliferation of AI-enabled military technology in the Middle East". Archived from the original on 2026-04-22.
- ^ Robins-Early, Nick (2024-07-14). "AI's 'Oppenheimer moment': autonomous weapons enter the battlefield". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2026-04-22.
- ^ "China's Military AI Roadblocks". Center for Security and Emerging Technology. Retrieved 2026-04-22.
- ^ "GGE on lethal autonomous weapons systems". Digital Watch Observatory. 2025-11-27. Retrieved 2026-04-26.
- ^ "Statements at the First 2025 GGE LAWS Session". APILS. 2025-03-09. Retrieved 2026-04-26.