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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 5 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Dexter, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

1. Off the Southeastern United States:
A weak surface trough located several hundred miles off the coast of 
the southeastern United States is producing scattered showers and 
thunderstorms.  An area of low pressure is expected to develop from 
this system over the next day or so, and environmental conditions 
appear generally favorable for additional development.  A tropical 
depression could form by the latter portion of this week or this 
weekend as the low starts moving slowly westward, but turns more 
northward by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is currently 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development 
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form late 
this week or over the weekend as the system moves generally 
west-northwestward across the central tropical or subtropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Forecaster Pasch